Archive for June 16th, 2010

The Unintended Consequences of Federal Government Intervention Into The Economy–Government Is The Real Problem!

Posted on June 16, 2010. Filed under: Blogroll, Communications, Economics, Education, Employment, Federal Government, Fiscal Policy, Foreign Policy, government, government spending, history, Investments, Language, Law, liberty, Life, Links, media, Monetary Policy, People, Philosophy, Politics, Psychology, Quotations, Rants, Raves, Resources, Reviews, Science, Security, Strategy, Talk Radio, Taxes, Technology, Video | Tags: , , , , , , , , , |

Ronald Reagan: First Inaugural Address (2 of 3)

 

Glenn Beck-06/16/10-A

Glenn Beck-06/16/10-B

Glenn Beck-06/16/10-C

Glenn Beck-06/16/10-D

Background Articles and Videos

The Relevance of Atlas Shrugged in Today’s World – Ayn Rand Center for Individual Rights

Why Atlas Shrugged Changes Lives

Atlas Shrugged Thoughts

Unintended consequences

“…In the social sciences, unintended consequences are outcomes that are not (or not limited to) the results originally intended by a particular action. The unintended results may be positive or negative, but they should be unforeseen by the actor. The concept has long existed but was named and popularised in the 20th century by the American sociologist, Robert K. Merton.[1] The law of unintended consequences is an adage or idiom that warns that an intervention in a complex system invariably creates unanticipated and often undesirable outcomes.[2][3][4][5] It is akin to Murphy’s law, and is commonly used as a wry or humorous warning against the hubristic belief that humans can fully control the world around them. It is used in a variety of different contexts in different fields of study, including economics, history, philosophy, political science, and sociology.

Unintended consequences can be grouped into roughly three types:

a positive unexpected benefit, usually referred to as serendipity or a windfall.
a negative unexpected drawback, occurring in addition to the desired effect of the policy – e.g. while irrigation schemes do provide people with water for agriculture, they often increase waterborne disease which can a have a devastating negative health effect, such as schistosomiasis.
a perverse effect, that may be contrary to what was originally intended (i.e. when an intended solution to a problem only makes the problem worse). This situation can arise when a policy has a perverse incentive and causes actions contrary to what is desired.
The idea of unintended consequences dates back at least to Adam Smith, the Scottish Enlightenment, and consequentialism (judging by results).[6] However, it was the sociologist Robert K. Merton who popularized this concept in the twentieth century.[7][8][9][10]

In his 1936 paper, “The Unanticipated Consequences of Purposive Social Action”, Merton tried to apply a systematic analysis to the problem of “unanticipated consequences” of “purposive social action”. He emphasized that his term “purposive action… [is exclusively] concerned with ‘conduct’ as distinct from ‘behavior.’ That is, with action that involves motives and consequently a choice between various alternatives”.[10] Merton also stated that “no blanket statement categorically affirming or denying the practical feasibility of all social planning is warranted.”[11]

Causes
Possible causes of unintended consequences include the world’s inherent complexity (parts of a system responding to changes in the environment), perverse incentives, human stupidity, self-deception, failure to account for human nature or other cognitive or emotional biases. As a sub-component of complexity (in the scientific sense), the chaotic nature of the universe – and especially its quality of having small, apparently insignificant changes with far-reaching effects (e.g., the Butterfly effect) – applies.

Robert K. Merton listed five possible causes of unanticipated consequences:[12]

Ignorance (It is impossible to anticipate everything, thereby leading to incomplete analysis)
Error (Incorrect analysis of the problem or following habits that worked in the past but may not apply to the current situation)
Immediate interest, which may override long-term interests
Basic values may require or prohibit certain actions even if the long-term result might be unfavorable (these long-term consequences may eventually cause changes in basic values)
Self-defeating prophecy (Fear of some consequence drives people to find solutions before the problem occurs, thus the non-occurrence of the problem is unanticipated)
The Relevance paradox where decision makers think they know their areas of ignorance about an issue, and go and obtain the necessary information to fill that ignorance, but neglect certain other areas of ignorance, because, due to not having the information, its relevance is not obvious, is also cited as a cause. …”

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unintended_consequence

Invincible ignorance Fallacy

“…The Invincible ignorance fallacy [1] is a deductive Fallacy of Circularity where the person in question simply refuses to believe the argument, ignoring any evidence given. It’s not so much a fallacious tactic in argument as it is a refusal to argue. …”

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Invincible_ignorance

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Obama’s Oil Spill Speech–Deja Vu–Jimmy Carter Crisis of Confidence Speech July 15, 1979 aka The Malaise Speech–Videos

Posted on June 16, 2010. Filed under: Blogroll, Communications, Economics, Education, Employment, Energy, Federal Government, Fiscal Policy, government spending, history, Investments, Law, liberty, Life, Links, media, Monetary Policy, People, Philosophy, Politics, Rants, Raves, Regulations, Resources, Science, Security, Strategy, Taxes, Technology, Transportation, Video, War, Wisdom | Tags: , , , , |

Jimmy Carter Crisis of Confidence speech 1 of 4 July 15, 1979 aka Malaise Speech

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Fouad Ajami–The Foreigner’s Gift–Videos

Posted on June 16, 2010. Filed under: Blogroll, Communications, Culture, Demographics, Economics, Federal Government, Foreign Policy, government spending, history, Language, Law, liberty, Life, Links, media, People, Philosophy, Politics, Quotations, Rants, Religion, Security, Strategy, Talk Radio, Technology, Video, War, Wisdom | Tags: , , , , , |

The United States and the Middle East with Fouad Ajami

Background Articles and Videos

Fouad A. Ajami

Fouad A. Ajami (Arabic: فؤاد عجمي‎; born September 9, 1945), is a MacArthur Fellowship winning, Lebanese-born American university professor and writer on Middle Eastern issues. In recent years, Ajami has been an outspoken supporter of the Iraq War, the nobility of which he believes there “can be no doubt”.[1] This view has drawn some criticism from others in academia.

Personal
Ajami was born on September 19, 1945, in Arnoun, a rocky hamlet in the south of Lebanon. His Shiite family had come to Arnoun from Tabriz, Iran in the 1850s. In Arabic, the word “Ajam” means “non-Arab” or, more specifically, “Persian”.

Ajami arrived in the United States in the fall of 1963, just before he turned 18. He did some of his undergraduate work at Eastern Oregon College (now Eastern Oregon University) in La Grande, Oregon. He did his graduate work at the University of Washington, where he wrote his thesis on international relations and world government.

 Career
 Academia
In 1973 Ajami joined the political science department of Princeton University where he did not get tenure. He made a name for himself there as a vocal supporter of Palestinian self-determination.

He is today the Majid Khadduri professor in Middle East Studies and Director of the Middle East Studies Program at the Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS) of Johns Hopkins University.

 Government
Ajami has been an advisor to United States Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice as well as a friend and colleague of Paul Wolfowitz.[2]

 Journalism
Ajami is a frequent contributor on Middle Eastern issues and contemporary international history to The New York Times Book Review, Foreign Affairs, The New Republic, The Wall Street Journal, and other journals and periodicals, as well.

 Television
Ajami frequently appears on PBS and CBS News.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fouad_Ajami

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