The Obama Depression (OD) Starts July 4, 2009–30 Million Americans March To Tea Parties In Washington D.C. and Over 1,000 Cities and Towns Across America!

Posted on June 5, 2009. Filed under: Blogroll, Economics, Employment, Life, Links, Politics, Quotations, Rants, Raves, Taxes, Video | Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , |

fireworkd.jpt

The official unemployment rate as measured by U-3 (see unemployment article below) for May, 2009 was higher than expected, hitting a twenty-five year high of 9.4% or over 14.5 million Americans seeking full time jobs.

The real unemployment rate as measured by U-6 (see unmployment article  below) for May, 2009  hit 16.4% or over 25 million Americans seeking full time jobs.

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.t12.htm

On July 4, 2009 the Bush recession of 2008 turns into the Obama Depression of 2009.

By July 4, 2009 the official unemployment rate as measured by U-3 will  be over 10% with over 15 million Americans seeking full time employment.

By July 4, 2009 the real unemployment rate as measured by U-6 will be over 17.5% or over 26 million Americans seeking full time jobs.

These unemployment rates will be the highest official and total unemployment rates in over seventy years!

What is not being hightlighted and talked about by big media is that in 1933 at the height of the Great Depression with an unemployment rate of 24.9% the number of unemployed Americans was 12,830,000.

More Americans are now unemployed, 14,511,000, than were in 1933!

The Great Depression: A Brief Overview

Year Unemployment (% labor force)
1933 24.9
1934 21.7
1935 20.1
1936 16.9
1937 14.3
1938 19.0
1939 17.2
1940 14.6
1941 9.9
1942 4.7
1943 1.9
1944 1.2
1945 1.9

source: Historical Statistics US (1976) series D-86

This will be followed in late 2010 and early 2011 with double digit inflation rates!

Monetary Policy By Federal Reserve Will Cause “Double Digit” Inflation

Peter Schiff – CNBC Jun 8, 2009

Jim Rogers: They’re Printing So Much Money That Stocks Will Go To 30,000

Jim Rogers – An Even Greater Depression is Coming – March 1st, 2009

Inside Look – How Long Will the Recession Last? – Bloomberg

Dr. Nouriel Roubini

President Obama’s economic approach of massive bailouts to failing businesses and stimulus bills that are largely payoffs to his campaign contributors (mainly unions and Wall Street banks) combined with the Federal Reserve’s wildly expansionary monetary policy to accommodate the bailouts and huge budgetary deficits are the problem not the solution.

Businesses and consumers have lost confidence in President Obama’s economic policies that are wrecking the American economy and destroying jobs.

Until small and medium size businesses that create most of the new jobs have confidence in President Obama’s and the Federal Reserve’s economic policies, the unemployment rate will continue to grow and the recession will last longer.

I fully expect the official unemployment rate will hit 13% by the end of the year and the real total unemployment rate will hit 21%.

The recession/depression will last at least 30 months or until the middle of 2010 provided both the proposed cap and trade energy tax and national health care bills are defeated.

The Obama Depression will be the longest recession/depression since the Great Depression of 1929-1933 of 43 months.

President Obama’s proposed hidden cap and trade energy tax and the proposed national health care bills if passed will destroy even more jobs and result in an even longer recession if not depression.

Both bills are job and investment killers and are fiscally irresponsible given the huge current and future liabilities of existing entitlement programs, namely Social Security and Medicare. These programs need to be put on a financial sound footing before even considering another new entitlement programs.

President Obama’s incompetent economic policies and radical socialist proposals are the problem not the solution.

Trying to pass the blame to President Bush and lying about the causes will increasingly not work as the American people wake-up to tens of millions unemployed Americans

The American people will demand that all illegal aliens working in the United States be removed from the workplace and deported and American citizens replace them.

The American people will demand that no new taxes be enacted and the FairTax be passed to replace all existing business and individual income, payroll, estate and gift taxes.

The American people will demand a six month tax holiday to restore their confidence in the economy and encourage consumer spending and business investment.

The American people will demand that all bailouts be banned and all budgets be balanced.

The American people will demand that both the  Social Security and Medicare  programs be saved before entertaining any new entitlement program such as national health care.

Look before you leap!

US Federal Government Deficits

federal_spending

Stop Spending Our Future – The Crisis

Joe Stiglitz …explains how we got robbed by tarp 2

Inside Look – How Not to Fix the Financial System – Bloomberg

Dr. Nouriel Roubini

Glenn Beck Interviews Stuart Varney,Conservatives Take Control Of Parliament

Out of control fear

On July 4, 2009 Independence Day over 30 million Americans will march and attend ice tea parties in over 1,000 cities and towns including Washington D.C.  celebrating the Second American Revolution.

You are invited to attend a Tea Party on Saturday, July 4, 2009, Independence Day!

Happy_July_4

Join the Second American Revolution

we_the_people

The Meaning of Independence Day

Ayn Rand Center for Individual Rights

Second American Revolution–Tea Party Celebrations–Washington Fair–July 4, 2009–An Open Invitation To The American People

American People’s Plan = 6 Month Tax Holiday + FairTax = Real Hope + Real Change!–Millions To March On Washington D.C. Saturday, July 4, 2009!

Independents Lead The The Second American Revolution Surge–Independence Day–Saturday July 4, 2009 In Washington D.C.–Tea Party Time–On To Washington–Dare You To Move!

Please Spread The Message of Liberty

liberty_bell1

Proclaim liberty throughout the land to all its inhabitants.”

Let Freedom Ring

Thomas Paine on to Washington

switchfoot-dare you to move(live)

God Bless the USA – Lee Greenwood

Background Articles and Videos

THE EMPLOYMENT SITUATION: MAY 2009

Nonfarm payroll employment fell by 345,000 in May, about half the
average monthly decline for the prior 6 months, the Bureau of Labor
Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. The unem-
ployment rate continued to rise, increasing from 8.9 to 9.4 percent.
Steep job losses continued in manufacturing, while declines moderated
in construction and several service-providing industries.

Unemployment (Household Survey Data)

The number of unemployed persons increased by 787,000 to 14.5 million in May, and the unemployment rate rose to 9.4 percent. Since the start of the recession in December 2007, the number of unemployed persons has risen by 7.0 million, and the unemployment rate has grown by 4.5 percent-age points. (See table A-1.)

Unemployment rates rose in May for adult men (9.8 percent), adult
women (7.5 percent), whites (8.6 percent), and Hispanics (12.7 percent). The jobless rates for teenagers (22.7 percent) and blacks (14.9 percent) were little changed over the month. The unemployment rate for Asians was 6.7 percent in May, not seasonally adjusted, up from 3.8 percent a year earlier. (See tables A-1, A-2, and A-3.)

Among the unemployed, the number of job losers and persons who completed temporary jobs rose by 732,000 in May to 9.5 million. This group has increased by 5.8 million since the start of the recession. (See table A-8.)

The number of long-term unemployed (those jobless for 27 weeks or more) increased by 268,000 over the month to 3.9 million and has tripled since the start of the recession. (See table A-9.)

unemployment_bar

US_Unemployment_1890-2008

US  Annual

Unemployment

Rate

Year Annual Rate
1948 3.8
1949 5.9
1950 5.3
1951 3.3
1952 3.0
1953 2.9
1954 5.5
1955 4.4
1956 4.1
1957 4.3
1958 6.8
1959 5.5
1960 5.5
1961 6.7
1962 5.5
1963 5.7
1964 5.2
1965 4.5
1966 3.8
1967 3.8
1968 3.6
1969 3.5
1970 4.9
1971 5.9
1972 5.6
1973 4.9
1974 5.6
1975 8.5
1976 7.7
977 7.1
1978 6.1
1979 5.8
1980 7.1
1981 7.6
1982 9.7
1983 9.6
1984 7.5
1985 7.2
1986 7.0
1987 6.2
1988 5.5
1989 5.3
1990 5.6
1991 6.8
1992 7.5
1993 6.9
1994 6.1
1995 5.6
1996 5.4
1997 4.9
1998 4.5
1999 4.2
2000 4.0
2001 4.7
2002 5.8
2003 6.0
2004 5.5
2005 5.1
2006 4.6
2007 4.6
008 5.8

Unemployment

“…Unemployment occurs when a person is available to work and seeking work but currently without work.[1] The prevalence of unemployment is usually measured using the unemployment rate, which is defined as the percentage of those in the labor force who are unemployed. The unemployment rate is also used in economic studies and economic indexes such as the United States’ Conference Board’s Index of Leading Indicators as a measure of the state of the macroeconomics.

Most economic schools of thought agree that the cause of involuntary unemployment is that wages are above the market clearing rate. However, there are disagreements as to why this would be the case: the economists argue that in a downturn, wages stay high because they are naturally ‘sticky’, whilst others argue that minimum wages and union activity keep them high. Keynesian economics emphasizes unemployment resulting from insufficient effective demand for goods and services in the economy (cyclical unemployment). Others point to structural problems, inefficiencies, inherent in labour markets (structural unemployment). Classical or neoclassical economics tends to reject these explanations, and focuses more on rigidities imposed on the labor market from the outside, such as minimum wage laws, taxes, and other regulations that may discourage the hiring of workers (classical unemployment). Yet others see unemployment as largely due to voluntary choices by the unemployed (frictional unemployment). Alternatively, some blame unemployment on Globalisation. There is also disagreement on how exactly to measure unemployment. Different countries experience different levels of unemployment; traditionally, the USA experiences lower unemployment levels than countires in the European Union,[2] although there is variet there, with countries like the UK and Denmark outpreforming Italy and France and it also changes over time (e.g. the Great depression) throughout economic cycles …”

“…The Bureau of Labor Statistics measures employment and unemployment (of those over 15 years of age) using two different labor force surveys[32] conducted by the United States Census Bureau (within the United States Department of Commerce) and/or the Bureau of Labor Statistics (within the United States Department of Labor) that gather employment statistics monthly. The Current Population Survey (CPS), or “Household Survey”, conducts a survey based on a sample of 60,000 households. This Survey measures the unemployment rate based on the ILO definition.[33] The data is also used to calculate 5 alternate measures of unemployment as a percentage of the labor force based on different definitions noted as U1 through U6:[34]

  • U1: Percentage of labor force unemployed 15 weeks or longer.
  • U2: Percentage of labor force who lost jobs or completed temporary work.
  • U3: Official unemployment rate per ILO definition.
  • U4: U3 + “discouraged workers”, or those who have stopped looking for work because current economic conditions make them believe that no work is available for them.
  • U5: U4 + other “marginally attached workers”, or those who “would like” and are able to work, but have not looked for work recently.
  • U6: U5 + Part time workers who want to work full time, but can not due to economic reasons.

Note: “Marginally attached workers” are added to the total labor force for unemployment rate calculation for U4, U5, and U6. The BLS revised the CPS in 1994 and among the changes the measure representing the official unemployment rate was renamed U3 instead of U5.[35]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unemployment

Inflation is looming on America’s horizon

By Martin Feldstein

Published: April 19 2009 18:54 | Last updated: April 19 2009 18:54

“…The money supply consists largely of government-insured bank deposits that households and businesses are holding because of a concern about the liquidity and safety of other forms of investment. But this could change when conditions improve, turning these money balances into sources of inflation.

The link between fiscal deficits and money growth is about to be exacerbated by “quantitative easing”, in which the Fed will buy long-dated government bonds. While this may look like just a modified form of the Fed’s traditional open market operations, it cannot be distinguished from a policy of directly monetising some of the government’s newly created debt. Fortunately, the amount of debt being purchased in this way is still small relative to the total government borrowing.

The Fed is also creating a massive increase in liquidity by its policy of supplying credit directly to private borrowers. Although these credit transactions do not add to the measured fiscal deficit, the unprecedented Fed purchases of more than $1,000bn of private securities have led to the enormous $700bn increase in the excess reserves of the commercial banks. The banks now hold these as interest-bearing deposits at the Fed. But when the economy begins to recover, these reserves can be converted into new loans and faster money growth.

The deep recession means that there is no immediate risk of inflation. The aggregate demand for labour and goods and services is much less than the potential supply. But when the economy begins to recover, the Fed will have to reduce the excessive stock of money and, more critically, prevent the large volume of excess reserves in the banks from causing an inflationary explosion of money and credit. …”

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/ae436dbc-2d09-11de-8710-00144feabdc0.html

Great Depression

by Gene Smiley

“A worldwide depression struck countries with market economies at the end of the 1920s. Although the Great Depression was relatively mild in some countries, it was severe in others, particularly in the United States, where, at its nadir in 1933, 25 percent of all workers and 37 percent of all nonfarm workers were completely out of work. Some people starved; many others lost their farms and homes. Homeless vagabonds sneaked aboard the freight trains that crossed the nation. Dispossessed cotton farmers, the “Okies,” stuffed their possessions into dilapidated Model Ts and migrated to California in the false hope that the posters about plentiful jobs were true. Although the U.S. economy began to recover in the second quarter of 1933, the recovery largely stalled for most of 1934 and 1935. A more vigorous recovery commenced in late 1935 and continued into 1937, when a new depression occurred. The American economy had yet to fully recover from the Great Depression when the United States was drawn into World War II in December 1941. Because of this agonizingly slow recovery, the entire decade of the 1930s in the United States is often referred to as the Great Depression. …”

http://www.econlib.org/library/Enc/GreatDepression.html

List of recessions in the United States

“…This is a list of recessions that have affected the United States. Though a recession is popularly defined as two quarters of negative GDP growth, the beginning and ending dates of U.S. recessions are officially determined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER).[2] The NBER defines a recession as, “…a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months, normally visible in real GDP, real income, employment, industrial production, and wholesale-retail sales.”[3] From 1945-2007 the NBER has identified 11 recessions;[4] their average duration was 10 months (peak to trough).[5]

Most of the recessions listed here have affected economies on a worldwide scale; some of them are the Great Depression, the late 1980s recession, and the early 2000s recession. Recessions in one country are often grouped together with recessions in other countries that are related, and they commonly share a focal point as the cause of the recession.[6]

Note that before detailed economic statistics began to be gathered in the nineteenth century, it was difficult to tell when recessions occurred.[7] In spite of this, it is possible to estimate when economic recessions began because they were typically caused by external actions on the economic system such as wars and variations in the weather.[8]

Recessions and other Economic Crises

Name  ↓ Dates  ↓ Duration  ↓ Time since start of previous entry  ↓ Causes References
Panic of 1797 1797–1800 &0000000000000003.0000003 years The effects of the deflation of the Bank of England crossed the Atlantic Ocean to North America and disrupted commercial and real estate markets in the United States and the Caribbean. Britain‘s economy was greatly affected by developing disflationary repercussions because it was fighting France in the French Revolutionary Wars at the time. [9] [5]
Depression of 1807 1807–1814 &0000000000000007.0000007 years &0000000000000010.00000010 years The Embargo Act of 1807 was passed by the United States Congress under President Thomas Jefferson. It devastated shipping-related industries. The Federalists fought the embargo and allowed smuggling to take place in New England. [10][11][5]
Panic of 1819 1819–1824 &0000000000000005.0000005 years &0000000000000012.00000012 years The first major financial crisis in the United States featured widespread foreclosures, bank failures, unemployment, and a slump in agriculture and manufacturing. It also marked the end of the economic expansion that followed the War of 1812. [12][13][5]
Panic of 1837 1837–1843 &0000000000000006.0000006 years &0000000000000018.00000018 years A sharp downturn in the American economy was caused by bank failures and lack of confidence in the paper currency. Speculation markets were greatly affected when American banks stopped payment in specie (gold and silver coinage). [14][5]
Panic of 1857 1857–1860 &0000000000000003.0000003 years &0000000000000020.00000020 years Failure of the Ohio Life Insurance and Trust Company burst a European speculative bubble in United States railroads and caused a loss of confidence in American banks. Over 5,000 businesses failed within the first year of the Panic, and unemployment was accompanied by protest meetings in urban areas. [15][5]
Panic of 1873 1873–1879 &0000000000000006.0000006 years &0000000000000016.00000016 years Economic problems in Europe prompted the failure of the Jay Cooke & Company, the largest bank in the United States, which burst the post-Civil War speculative bubble. The Coinage Act of 1873 also contributed by immediately depressing the price of silver, which hurt North American mining interests. [16][5]
Long Depression 1873–1896 &0000000000000023.00000023 years The collapse of the Vienna Stock Exchange caused a depression that spread throughout the world. It is important to note that during this period, the global industrial production greatly increased. In the United States, for example, industrial output increased fourfold. [17][5]
Panic of 1893 1893–1896 &0000000000000003.0000003 years &0000000000000020.00000020 years Failure of the United States Reading Railroad and withdrawal of European investment led to a stock market and banking collapse. This Panic was also precipitated in part by a run on the gold supply. [18][5]
Panic of 1907 1907–1908 &0000000000000001.0000001 year &0000000000000014.00000014 years A run on Knickerbocker Trust Company deposits on October 22, 1907, set events in motion that would lead to a severe monetary contraction. [19][5]
Post-World War I recession 1918–1921 &0000000000000003.0000003 years &0000000000000011.00000011 years Severe hyperinflation in Europe took place over production in North America. It was a brief but very sharp recession and was caused by the end of wartime production, along with an influx of labor from returning troops. This in turn caused high unemployment. [20][5]
Great Depression 1929–1933 &0000000000000043.00000043 months &0000000000000021.00000021 months Stock markets crashed worldwide, and a banking collapse took place in the United States. Although sometimes dated as lasting until the Second World War, the US economy was growing again by 1933, and technically the U.S. was not in recession from 1933 to 1937 [21][5]
Recession of 1937 1937–1938 &0000000000000013.00000013 months &0000000000000050.00000050 months The Recession of 1937 is only considered minor when compared to the Great Depression, but is otherwise among the worst recessions of the 20th century. [22]
Recession of 1945 Feb-Oct 1945 &0000000000000008.0000008 months &0000000000000080.00000080 months The decline in government spending at the end of World War II led to an enormous drop in Gross Domestic Product making this technically a recession. The Post War years were unusual in a number of ways and this era has little in common with other recessions. [23]
Recession of 1948 Nov 1948–Oct 1949 &0000000000000011.00000011 months &0000000000000037.00000037 months The 1948 recession was a relatively brief cyclical economic downturn, the mildness of which led to confidence in the notion that the Post War-era would be a period of stronger growth. [24]
Recession of 1953 July 1953–May 1954 &0000000000000010.00000010 months &0000000000000045.00000045 months After a post-Korean War inflationary period, more funds were transferred into national security. The Federal Reserve changed monetary policy to be more restrictive in 1952 due to fears of further inflation. [25][26][5]
Recession of 1958 Aug 1957–April 1958 &0000000000000008.0000008 months &0000000000000039.00000039 months Monetary policy was tightened during the two years preceding 1957, followed by an easing of policy at the end of 1957. The budget balance resulted in a change in budget surplus of 0.8% of GDP in 1957 to a budget deficit of 0.6% of GDP in 1958, and then to 2.6% of GDP in 1959. [27][5]
Recession of 1960-1 April 1960–Feb 1961 &0000000000000010.00000010 months &0000000000000024.00000024 months After President Kennedy’s 30 January 1961 call for increased government spending to improve the Gross National Product and to reduce unemployment, the 1960-61 recession ended in February.[28]
Recession of 1969-70 Dec 1969–Nov 1970 &0000000000000011.00000011 months &0000000000000106.000000106 months The relatively mild 1969 recession is thought to have been mostly caused by the Federal Reserve raising interest rates to hold down inflation. [5]
1973 oil crisis1973–1974 stock market crash Nov. 1973– March 1975 &0000000000000016.00000016 months &0000000000000036.00000036 months A quadrupling of oil prices by OPEC coupled with high government spending due to the Vietnam War led to stagflation in the United States. [29][5]
1980 recession Jan-July 1980 &0000000000000006.0000006 months &0000000000000058.00000058 months The NBER considers a short recession to have occurred in 1980, followed by a short period of growth and then a deep recession. Unemployment remained relatively elevated inbetween recessions. The early ’80s are sometimes referred to as a “double dip” or “w-shaped” recession. [5]
Early 1980s recession July 1981–Nov 1982 &0000000000000016.00000016 months &0000000000000012.00000012 months The Iranian Revolution sharply increased the price of oil around the world in 1979, causing the 1979 energy crisis. This was caused by the new regime in power in Iran, which exported oil at inconsistent intervals and at a lower volume, forcing prices to go up. Tight monetary policy in the United States to control inflation led to another recession. The changes were made largely because of inflation that was carried over from the previous decade due to the 1973 oil crisis and the 1979 energy crisis. [30][31][5]
Early 1990s recession July 1990–March 1991 &0000000000000008.0000008 months &0000000000000092.00000092 months Industrial production and manufacturing-trade sales increased in early 1991. [32][5]
Early 2000s recession Mar-Nov 2001 &0000000000000008.0000008 months &0000000000000120.000000120 months The collapse of the dot-com bubble, the September 11th attacks, and accounting scandals contributed to a relatively mild contraction in the North American economy. [33][5]
Late 2000s recession Dec 2007-current ongoing &0000000000000073.00000073 months The collapse of the housing market led to bank collapses in the US and Europe, causing the amount of available credit to be sharply curtailed, resulting in huge liquidity and solvency crises. In addition, record oil prices and food prices, stock markets crashed globally, and several high profile banking and manufacturing giants collapsed in the United States [34][35]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_recessions

Mobilizing against Obamacare

By Michelle Malkin

teaparty

“…Liberty Belle blogger Keli Carender, who organized the first porkulus protest in Seattle back in February that presaged the Tea Party movement, is mobilizing grass-roots activists against the Obama health care takeover.

The Funeral for Health Care will be held on May 30.

More info here.

What are you doing in your neighborhood?

Noteworthy: Seattle was ground zero during the 1994 grass-roots revolt against Hillarycare.

Let history repeat. …”

http://michellemalkin.com/2009/05/21/mobilizing-against-obamacare/
JIM ROGERS CNBC JUNE 4, 2009 PART 1 OF 4

Obama Strong Approval Ratings Equal Obama Strong Disapproval

JIM ROGERS CNBC JUNE 4, 2009 PART 2 OF 4

JIM ROGERS CNBC JUNE 4, 2009 PART 3 OF 4

JIM ROGERS CNBC JUNE 4, 2009 PART 4 OF 4

Related Posts On Pronk Palisades

President Obama–Killer of The American Dream and Market Capitalism–Stop The Radical Socialists Before They Kill You!

Living The American Dream and Defending The American Dream

US Federal Government Fails Stress Test–Insolvent: Time Has Arrived For Downsizing–Departments and Subsidies To Be Eliminated!

Independents Lead The The Second American Revolution Surge–Independence Day–Saturday July 4, 2009 In Washington D.C.–Tea Party Time–On To Washington–Dare You To Move!

American People’s Plan = 6 Month Tax Holiday + FairTax = Real Hope + Real Change!–Millions To March On Washington D.C. Saturday, July 4, 2009!

Second American Revolution–Tea Party Celebrations–Washington Fair–July 4, 2009–An Open Invitation To The American People

 


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