2008 Presidential Choice: Leader or Diletant–McCain or Obama

Posted on July 31, 2008. Filed under: Blogroll, Economics, Links, Politics, Rants, Raves, Resources, Taxes, Video, War |


PRES] McCain: The One


“Where Does the Money Go?” National Debt – Bill Moyers


 Sen. McCain Responds to Budget Deficit


Obama and McCain Duel Over the Economy


“…a government must appeal to its citizens in terms of competence, realism, sobriety, and personal character. Rather than whipping up enthusiasm, it must seek to bring calm to agitated souls. In the language of Camus, it must restore a sense of limits. Its rhetoric must endeavor to make limits plausible. The most terrifying limit, of course, is a government’s inability to bring about a resolution of the spiritual crisis, which dicatates the modest amount of political power it can mobilize apart for war, and maybe even in the presence of war. And we, the intellectuals among citizens, must learn to control our own yearnings for a “new world.” as we learn to llve in the one inhabit, affirming our own history and the “real possibilities” it offers.”

~Gerhart Niemeyer


The Wall Street Journal published a very revealing poll comparing Senators McCain and Obama.

WSJ/NBC Poll: Obama Maintains Lead Over McCain

“…the Arizona Republican senator has an 11-percentage-point advantage over Obama when voters were asked which candidate’s background and set of values they identify with more—58% said that candidate was McCain, while 47% said Obama. In contrast, 34% said McCain does not represent their values, while 43% said Obama does not.

Yet when it comes to the issues, however, a solid majority — 60% — said Obama’s approach “is in the mainstream of most Americans’ thinking” while 45% described McCain’s views as mainstream. More than four out of 10 said McCain’s views are “out of step” while just under three in 10 said the same about Obama.

McCain also came out ahead, 46%-41%, when voters were asked who would be the “safer choice” for president. …”


If you believe the poll, Obama is leading by 6 percentage points over McCain with the poll having a possible error of 3 percentage points.

At this point in the campaign I would have thought Obama would have a lead of at least 10% over McCain.

The spread will narrow as election day approaches and while there will be the ususal after convention bounce for both candidates, the Democrats should be worried.

Why the narrow spread today?

The Democratic Party and their Presidential candidate have been a big supporter of huge government subsidies for ethanol and no drilling for oil off the US coasts and ANWR.

The result of such a policy has been  rising food and gasoline prices that have impacted all of the American people.

Obama has been a big supporter of subsidies for ethanol production and no drilling.

McCain has been opposed to farm subsidies and now supports drilling offshore, but irrationally opposes drilling in ANWR.

On these two pocket book issues, McCain has the support of the American people.

People must eat and drive to and from work each day.

The Democratic Party wants to signficantly increase both government spending and taxes.

Obama advocates a huge increase in both federal government spending and taxes.

McCain advocates cutting federal government spending and lower taxes.

Once this is clearly understood by the American people, McCain like Reagan in 1979, will win by a landside. 

Obama is perceived by the American people to be both inexperienced and unqualified to be President of the United States with an attitude of arrogance and hubris.

While Obama is an excellent reader of prepared speeches, he comes off as stuttering and confused when asked questions on subjects he knows little or nothing about.

While McCain is excellent in answering questions in townhall meetings, he is not very good reading prepared speeches.

The debates should highlight both presidential candidates advantages and disadvantages. 

Obama has the profile of a diletant or amateur not ready or up for the position of leader of the free world.

Polls are not votes.

I think the key to who will win the election is the choice of vice-presidential candidate.

Both candidates can pick a vice-president candidate that will take them beyond a tipping-point and into a winning the election if not a landside victory.

Both political parties need to motivate their political base to turnout and vote.

Voter turnout like the last Presidential election will be a decisive in deciding who will be the next President.

If Senator Obama selects either Senator Clinton or former  Senator and Vice-President Al Gore, the election will be too close to call.

Hillary Clinton

Hillary Rodham Clinton

Hillary Diane Rodham Clinton (born October 26, 1947) is the junior United States Senator from New York, and was a candidate for the Democratic nomination in the 2008 presidential election. She is married to Bill Clinton—the 42nd President of the United States—and was the First Lady of the United States from 1993 to 2001. …”



Al Gore

Al Gore

Albert Arnold Gore, Jr. (born March 31, 1948) is an American environmental activist, author, public intellectual,[2] businessperson, former politician, and former journalist. He served as the forty-fifth Vice President of the United States from 1993 to 2001 under President Bill Clinton. …”

The primary issues will be energy prices, taxes, out of control federal government spending and deficits, and illegal immigration–all economic issues that directly impact the pocket books of the American people.

The war in Iraq and the very real possibilty of war with Iran will not be a primary issue except in raising one important question–Is this person qualified to be Commander and Chief?

More and higher taxes for more federal government spending will not win.

Remember Congress has an approval rating under 10% for a reason.

If Senator McCain selects a fiscally responsible conservative such as Senator Tom Coburn, Governor Sarah Pallin, or former Governor Mitt Romney, it will be a repeat of the Presidential election of 1980, with Senator McCain the winner.

The last thing the American people want is a repeat of the Carter years with rising unemployment and inflation rates that resulted in a recession from 1980-1982 in President Reagan’s earlier years in office.


Tom Corburn

Tom Coburn

 “Thomas Allen “Tom” Coburn, M.D. (born March 14, 1948) is an American politician and medical doctor. A member of the Republican Party, he currently serves as the junior U.S. Senator from Oklahoma. …”



Sarah Palin

Sarah Palin


Sarah Heath Palin (née Sarah Louise Heath, born February 11, 1964 in Sandpoint, Idaho) is the current Governor of Alaska. She is the youngest governor in Alaskan history (42 years old upon taking office), as well as the first woman to hold the office in the state. In addition to being Alaska’s first female governor, and its youngest, Palin is also the first who was born after Alaska achieved statehood. She is also the first Alaska governor not to be inaugurated in Juneau, instead choosing to hold her inauguration ceremony in Fairbanks. She took office on December 4, 2006. Her Lieutenant Governor is Sean Parnell. Palin is the former mayor of Wasilla, Alaska. As Governor, she has maintained uncommonly high approval ratings throughout her tenure. …”


Mitt Romney

Mitt Romney

 “Willard Mitt Romney (born Detroit, Michigan, March 12, 1947) is an American businessman and former Governor of Massachusetts. Romney is also a former candidate for the Republican nomination in the 2008 United States presidential election.

Romney was CEO of Bain & Company, a management consulting firm, and co-founder of Bain Capital, a private equity investment firm. After his business career and serving as the CEO of the 2002 Winter Olympics, Romney was elected as the 70th Governor of Massachusetts in 2002. Romney served one term and did not seek re-election in 2006; his term expired January 4, 2007.[1]


 Background Articles and Videos

It’s 1980 All Over Again

“…Plug today’s generic political factors into any of the many forecasting models pitting Candidate A against Candidate B, and the Democrat wins in a landslide. The end of a two-term presidency with the incumbent’s approval at Watergate levels; widespread economic anxiety among the middle class, not just in general but in two panic-button areas (a real estate plunge and rising pricers for gas and food); and an unpopular war. It feels like 1979 and Jimmy Carter.



United States presidential election, 1980

“The United States presidential election of 1980 featured a contest between incumbent Democrat Jimmy Carter and his Republican opponent, Ronald Reagan, along with third party candidates, the independent John B. Anderson and Libertarian Ed Clark. Reagan, aided by the Iran hostage crisis and a worsening economy at home, won the election by a wide margin. …”









Recent additions to U.S. public debt

Fiscal year
(begins 10/01)
Value % of GDP
2001 $144.6 billion 1.4%
2002 $409.3 billion 3.9%
2003 $589.0 billion 5.5%
2004 $605.0 billion 5.3%
2005 $523.2 billion 4.3%
2006 $536.5 billion 4.1%
2007 $527.9 billion 3.9%

End of
Fiscal Year
US Public Debt
USD billions[18]
% of GDP[19]
1910 2.6
1920 25.9
1930 16.2
1940 43.0 44.2
1950 257.4 80.2
1960 290.2 45.7
1970 389.2 28.0
1980 930.2 26.1
1990 3233 42.0
2000 5674 35.1
2005 7933 37.4
2007 9008 36.8
2008   37.9(est)

US Public debt per GDP 1791-2006.svg


National debt by U.S. presidential terms

U.S. president  ↓ Party  ↓ Term years  ↓ Start debt/GDP*  ↓ End debt/GDP*  ↓ Increase debt ($T)  ↓ Increase debt/GDP  ↓
Roosevelt/Truman D 1945-1949 117.5% 93.2% 0.05 -24.3%
Truman Harry Truman D 1949-1953 93.2% 71.3% 0.01 -21.9%
Eisenhower1 Dwight Eisenhower R 1953-1957 71.3% 60.5% 0.01 -10.8%
Eisenhower2 Dwight Eisenhower R 1957-1961 60.5% 55.1% 0.02 -5.4%
Kennedy/Johnson D 1961-1965 55.1% 46.9% 0.03 -8.2%
Johnson Lyndon Johnson D 1965-1969 46.9% 38.6% 0.05 -8.3%
Nixon1 Richard Nixon R 1969-1973 38.6% 35.7% 0.07 -2.9%
Nixon2 Nixon/Ford R 1973-1977 35.7% 35.8% 0.19 +0.1%
Carter Jimmy Carter D 1977-1981 35.8% 32.6% 0.18 -3.2%
Reagan1 Ronald Reagan R 1981-1985 32.6% 43.9% 0.65 +11.3%
Reagan2 Ronald Reagan R 1985-1989 43.9% 53.1% 1.04 +9.2%
Bush GHW George H. W. Bush R 1989-1993 53.1% 66.2% 1.40 +13.1%
Clinton1 Bill Clinton D 1993-1997 66.2% 65.6% 1.12 -0.6%
Clinton2 Bill Clinton D 1997-2001 65.6% 57.4% 0.42 -8.2%
Bush GW1 George W. Bush R 2001-2005 57.4% 64.3% 1.15 +6.9%
Bush GW2 George W. Bush R 2005-2009 projection 64.3% 68.2% projection   +3.9% projection



John McCain: Farm subsidies


Tom Coburn’s Fight Against Pork


Coburn on Stealing from our Children 09 20 07


Tom Coburn – The Dr. of Truth


Senator Tom Coburn talks about his health care plan pt.1


Senator Tom Coburn talks about his health care plan pt.2


Sarah Palin–Perspective


Alaska Governor Sarah Palin on Larry Kudlow


Sarah Palin on Glenn Beck


Sarah Palin for Vice President – 2008

Sarah Palin on ACES



Mitt Romney – An Introduction


Mitt Romney on drilling,the economy,and more


Romney: Open Oil Fields in Alaska for Domestic Drilling


Gov. Romney on Immigration & Healthcare


Mitt Romney: Tax policy


Mitt Romney on being Vice President for John McCain


McCain VP Rumors Swirl


‘Celeb’, Mc Cain ad tells it like it is


“New Energy” Ad


Pump¨ TV Ad 


CNNC McCain ad: “Celeb


U.S. Troops-hater Obama Thinks He Did Well in Global Campaign 


The Winner!


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Dittos on Palin!


1. Which McCain Veep pick is SIMULTANEOUSLY the safest AND boldest?

ANSWER: Sarah Palin

2. How can McCain SIMULTANEOUSLY attract both Hillary AND Bob Barr voters?

ANSWER: Sarah Palin

* * *

And then there’s this from the Conservative Voice:

“Desperately seeking Sarah
July 26, 2008

By Stephan Andrew Brodhead

Desperately seeking Sarah
Americans need a little Palin Power

Sarah Palin the current Governor of Alaska is John McCain’s ultimate choice for VP. I do believe a woman is next in line for the presidency. All Conservatives like her. She is popular in Alaska. Hillary supporters would relish her. She would solidify a 12 or possibly 16 year Republican executive.

John McCain’s boring campaign is wearing thin. I need a little Palin Power to get me interested again. They would say ‘but she is only a half term Governor!’ And your point is?”

* * *

If John McCain doesn’t choose Sarah Palin, he might have to plead temporary insanity.

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