Conservative Turnout Will Determine the Outcome of The Presidential 2008 Race Between McCain vs. Obama

Posted on February 14, 2008. Filed under: Blogroll, Books, Economics, Links, Politics, Rants, Raves, Reviews, Taxes, Video, War |

The smart money is betting that Senators John McCain and Barack Obama will the candidates of the Republican and Democratic Parties respectively.

Turnout for both parties will determine who will be elected President of the United States.

Only 27% of the US Electorate Voting in Primaries

The Record Breaking 2008 Youth Voter Turnout

Today, Obama would win if you believe the polls.

General Election: McCain vs. Obama

Polling Data

Poll	Date	Sample	McCain (R)	Obama (D)	Und	Spread
RCP Average	01/29 – 02/10	–	43.7	47.7	7.1	Obama +4.0
USA Today/Gallup	02/08 – 02/10	706 LV	46	50	4	Obama +4.0
AP-Ipsos	02/07 – 02/10	1,029 A	42	48	8	Obama +6.0
Time	02/01 – 02/04	958 LV	41	48	6	Obama +7.0
CNN	02/01 – 02/03	974 RV	44	52	4	Obama +8.0
Cook/RT Strategies	01/31 – 02/02	855 RV	43	45	9	Obama +2.0
ABC/Wash Post	01/30 – 02/01	1249 A	46	49	3	Obama +3.0
FOX News	01/30 – 01/31	900 RV	43	44	13	Obama +1.0
NPR	01/29 – 01/31	1000 LV	48	47	3	McCain +1.0
Rasmussen (Wed)	4 Day Tracking	1700 LV	40	46	14	Obama +6.0
See All General Election: McCain vs. Obama Polling Data

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html

I do not.

Read this book about polls:

Mobocracy: How the Media’s Obsession with Polling Twists the News, Alters Elections and Undermines Democracy

by Matthew Robinson

“Mobocracy provides a multitude of recent examples of liberal journalists’ and Democratic politicians’ manipulation of public opinion through polling (including a shrewd, no-holds-barred account of the Clinton impeachment coverage). The primary objective of their manipulation, Robinson argues, is to validate a big-government political agenda and to discredit the Republicans. Most pollsters presume (or pretend there exists) a rational, informed public, but their “dirty little secret” is that vast numbers of Americans know little or nothing about the issues on which they are polled. Hence, polls not only conceal widespread public ignorance but actually feed it with flattery. Such citizens are easy prey for demagoguery. …”

http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_qa3827/is_200201/ai_n9020996

Had the Republican Party establishment backed one of many possible conservative candidates, turnout from conservatives would have won the election in a landslide for the Republican Party.

Running a true conservative instead of a moderate would have resulted in a repeat of 1980 and 1984 presidential election results:

United States presidential election, 1980

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/U.S._presidential_election,_1980

United States presidential election, 1984

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election,_1984

Under no circumstances would a conservative vote for either Senator Hillary Clinton or Senator Obama, who are rightly perceived by conservatives as unqualified far leftists.

The Republican Party establishment selected Senator McCain, who is the one Republican candidate not acceptable to many grassroot movement conservatives.

Rush: A Moderate GOP Nominee will lose in Landslide

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[…] Mark Hutcherson wrote an interesting post today onHere’s a quick excerptMoreover, others have even said they would consider voting for Senator Hillary Clinton or that there is simply no difference between Senators Clinton and Barack Obama on the one hand, and Senator John McCain on the other. … Read the rest of this great post here Posted by […]

Presidential election 2008 |Republicans Vs. Democrats » Conservative Turnout Will Determine the Outcome of The …
February 21, 2008