Conservative Turnout Will Determine the Outcome of The Presidential 2008 Race Between McCain vs. Obama

Posted on February 14, 2008. Filed under: Blogroll, Books, Economics, Links, Politics, Rants, Raves, Reviews, Taxes, Video, War |

The smart money is betting that Senators John McCain and Barack Obama will the candidates of the Republican and Democratic Parties respectively.

Turnout for both parties will determine who will be elected President of the United States.

Only 27% of the US Electorate Voting in Primaries  

 The Record Breaking 2008 Youth Voter Turnout

Today, Obama would win if you believe the polls.

General Election: McCain vs. Obama

 
 
Polling Data
Poll Date Sample McCain (R) Obama (D) Und Spread
RCP Average 01/29 – 02/10 43.7 47.7 7.1 Obama +4.0
USA Today/Gallup 02/08 – 02/10 706 LV 46 50 4 Obama +4.0
AP-Ipsos 02/07 – 02/10 1,029 A 42 48 8 Obama +6.0
Time 02/01 – 02/04 958 LV 41 48 6 Obama +7.0
CNN 02/01 – 02/03 974 RV 44 52 4 Obama +8.0
Cook/RT Strategies 01/31 – 02/02 855 RV 43 45 9 Obama +2.0
ABC/Wash Post 01/30 – 02/01 1249 A 46 49 3 Obama +3.0
FOX News 01/30 – 01/31 900 RV 43 44 13 Obama +1.0
NPR 01/29 – 01/31 1000 LV 48 47 3 McCain +1.0
Rasmussen (Wed) 4 Day Tracking 1700 LV 40 46 14 Obama +6.0
See All General Election: McCain vs. Obama Polling Data

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html

 I do not.

Read this book about polls: 

Mobocracy: How the Media’s Obsession with Polling Twists the News, Alters Elections and Undermines Democracy

by Matthew Robinson

“Mobocracy provides a multitude of recent examples of liberal journalists’ and Democratic politicians’ manipulation of public opinion through polling (including a shrewd, no-holds-barred account of the Clinton impeachment coverage). The primary objective of their manipulation, Robinson argues, is to validate a big-government political agenda and to discredit the Republicans. Most pollsters presume (or pretend there exists) a rational, informed public, but their “dirty little secret” is that vast numbers of Americans know little or nothing about the issues on which they are polled. Hence, polls not only conceal widespread public ignorance but actually feed it with flattery. Such citizens are easy prey for demagoguery. …” 

http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_qa3827/is_200201/ai_n9020996

Had the Republican Party establishment backed one of many possible conservative candidates, turnout from conservatives would have won the election in a landslide for the Republican Party.

Running a true conservative instead of a moderate would have resulted in a repeat of 1980 and 1984 presidential election results:

United States presidential election, 1980

ElectoralCollege1980-Large.png

 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/U.S._presidential_election,_1980

United States presidential election, 1984

ElectoralCollege1984-Large.png

 

 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election,_1984

Under no circumstances would a conservative vote for either Senator Hillary Clinton or Senator Obama, who are rightly perceived by conservatives as unqualified far leftists.

The Republican Party establishment selected Senator McCain, who is the one Republican candidate not acceptable to many grassroot movement conservatives.

Rush: A Moderate GOP Nominee will lose in Landslide


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